Wednesday, August 21, 2013

What's in Store for Today?

Weather across the CONUS is a bit more active this morning than it has been over the past week. Below are a few forecasts that show potential areas for thunderstorm evolution through this morning. 

Here is the 2-hour experimental Convective Outlook valid at 16 UTC. Majority of thunderstorm potential looks to be contained in the southeast.

The Extended Convective Forecast Product created from SREF calibrated thunderstorm depicts areas of thunderstorm probabilities. The ECFP forecast for the first part of the day highlights the southeast for greatest probability of thunderstorms.

The AutoNowCaster forecast for this morning continues to show low probability of thunderstorm initiation across the CONUS. It does, however, highlight portions of the southeast for fostering a more favorable environment for thunderstorm development. We will monitor how the atmosphere evolves in this area for potential NAS-impacting weather. 
  ANC forecast valid at 1414 UTC.

Here is the operational 4-hr CCFP valid at 17 UTC.

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