Tuesday, February 12, 2013

Day 2 of the Winter Weather Experiment

Good morning and welcome to Day 2 of the 2013 Aviation Winter Weather Experiment. We have a few new faces in the room today. Visitors from NTSB and the local WFO joined our other visitors from AFWA, NCAR, GSD, NASA, and Lockheed Martin.

We have already had a busy morning of assessment and verification of yesterday's model and human forecasts. Check out the IFR Verification blog for additional information. Additionally, morning weather briefings set the stage for today's hazards and focus regions. The ceiling and visibility desk forecasters are looking in the Pacific Northwest for low ceilings and will focus on the South from the Houston and Fort Worth regions shifting towards Memphis and Atlanta as the day progresses.  The turbulence desk will focus along the east coast/Atlantic seaboard with low level wind shear presenting a problem along the GA and SC coast and low turbulence over PA. Forecasters will also keep an eye over soutwest Texas where lowel level turbulence will likely be a hazard today. Finally, the icing desk will be focusing on developing storm over the central plains and icing hazards in the NE from West VA northeastward up to Maine.

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