The Aviation Weather Demonstration and Evaluation (AWDE) Services team provided support to the
Aviation Weather Testbed (AWT) during the two-week, all virtual, 2020 Summer Experiment. AWDE
conducted interviews with twenty-one participants to collect feedback concerning the capabilities
incorporated into the probabilistic TCF product. Participants included CWSU meteorologists, PERTI team
members, one MIC, and one NAM. All participants attended 30-60 minute virtual interviews and
provided valuable feedback concerning the operational suitability and usability of the probabilistic TCF
product.
AWDE team members asked participants questions concerning the overall usability, how the products
capabilities would add value in an operational environment, and what would improve the product’s
suitability and usability. All participants gave feedback stating the product is a good first-look graphic
that provides an overview of convective regions nationwide for planning. This graphic would be used
alongside models to compare convective focus areas for planning. Additional overlays such as ARTCC
boundaries, jet routes, and airport locations would be useful. While the product provides a 24 hour
convective forecast, most participants would benefit from smaller time increments, such as three or six
hours, and be able to focus in on certain regions/areas. The ability to overlay MRMS and the final TCF
polygons as verification provided more confidence in using the probabilistic TCF product to identify
convective weather areas.
Overall, the consensus among participants is that the product would be used as an initial tool to identify
convective areas to focus on before analyzing more regionalized areas for day one planning.
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